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上周五,美元走強,源于此前美國就業報告顯示9月份就業人數創下六個月以來的最大增幅,伴隨著失業率下降和顯著的工資增長。這些顯示出經濟韌性的迹象促使市場降低了對美聯儲降息的預期。美元指數應聲上漲0.54%,收盤于102.49。

(美元指數日線價格,來源:Trading View)
根據美國勞工統計局的數據顯示,上個月非農就業崗位增加了254,000個,超出了經濟學家預估的140,000個。而失業率則為4.1%,低于預期的4.2%。

(美國非農就業變化,來源:Forex Factory)
投資者對這一強勁就業增長的反應表明,即使這伴隨著更加鷹派的立場,但他們更加關注經濟增長。因此,根據CME集團的美聯儲觀察工具顯示,交易員們現在預計11月美聯儲僅有約97%的可能性將降息四分之一個百分點,高于周四的68%。
此外,盡管地緣政治發展和能源供應中斷的風險持續存在,持有風險敞口的市場參與者在周末並未遇到任何重大市場變化的消息,並且在新的一周中,對進一步上漲前景充滿信心。最新的中東局勢顯示,周日以色列對黎巴嫩和加沙地帶的真主黨目標進行了空襲。以色列國防部長則表示,針對宿敵伊朗的所有報複選項都在考慮之中。
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隨時隨地留意市場動態
市場易受供求關系變化的影響
對關注價格波動的投資者極具吸引力
流動性兼顧深度與多元化,無隱藏費用
無對賭模式,不重新報價
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