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1月美国生产者价格大幅上涨,进一步证明通胀正在加速,并强化了市场对美联储将推迟降息至今年下半年的预期。最终需求生产者价格指数(PPI)环比上涨0.4%,高于预期的0.3%,前值从0.4%上修至0.5%。

(美国PPI月率图表,来源:Forex Factory)
PPI的增长覆盖商品和服务领域。批发商品价格继12月上涨0.5%后,再次攀升0.6%,其中超过一半的涨幅来自能源价格1.7%的激增。食品价格也大幅上涨1.1%,其中鸡蛋价格因禽流感爆发飙升44.0%。剔除食品和能源后,核心商品价格连续第二个月微涨0.1%。
美国劳工部周四发布的PPI数据紧随周三公布的CPI报告,后者显示1月消费者价格创下近18个月以来最大涨幅。然而,部分PPI数据表明,核心通胀指标的涨幅可能比强劲的CPI数据所暗示的更温和。

(美元指数日线图,来源:Trading View)
从技术分析来看,美元指数整体趋势依然看涨,因其呈现更高的高点和低点。目前,价格正在测试关键支撑区域及前低水平。如果该支撑位未能守住,空头力量可能主导市场,推动价格进一步下跌。
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