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周一,金融市场气氛转佳及地缘风险担忧降低,英国富时100指数得延续早盘气势,并跑赢其他欧洲市场,终场收涨 1.62%,达8,024点创历史新高。
英格兰银行货币政策委员会(MPC)官员戴夫·拉姆斯登发言淡化英国通胀风险,引发市场猜测其将投票支持放宽货币政策,触动投资人买盘涌现。 盘中对利率敏感的公司成领头羊,欧卡多Ocado、玛莎百货Marks & Spencer 和 Next 等零售业公司股价上扬 4.5% 至 3%,而住宅建筑商 Persimmon 和 Barratt升2.5%。
与此同时,银行股跟进,汇丰银行HSBC上涨 3%; 而巴克莱银行Barclays也取得2% 涨幅,该行于周四公布营利报告。 但是,渣打银行Standard Chartered 因违反伊朗制裁受调查表现落后金融同业。 另外,基本金属价格回落拖累矿商表现亦逊于大盘。

(富时100指数年线图)
在英格兰银行副行长戴夫·拉姆斯登发表鸽派言论后,投资者重新调整对英国央行首次降息时间的预期。 拉姆斯登表示通通胀维持过高的风险已经减弱,很有可能会低于央行最新预测。 但这项声明与MPC官员梅根·格林的谨慎态度形成鲜明对比,她引用最新数据担忧英国工资增长和服务价格水准。
市场推测在8 月的例会将首次减息,甚至有可能最快在6月就提前调整。 因此,英镑贬值兑1.23美元,来到自11月中旬最低点。 在美联储官员鹰派言词支撑背景下,美元持续保持强势。

(GBPUSD年线图)
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