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周三,加拿大央行将关键政策利率下调25个基点至4.25%,符合市场预期。行长蒂夫·麦克勒姆表示,由于经济增长疲软,所以可能需要更大幅度的降息来支撑经济。
该央行此前将基准利率维持在5%的二十年高位长达一年,直到6月份开始降息。周三的举措是连续第三次降息,因为央行指出通胀压力正持续缓解。7月份时,通胀率降至40个月低点的2.5%,但仍高于央行的2.0%目标。然而,目前的经济表现低于央行六周前的预期。

(CPI、利率和GDP图表,来源:加拿大央行)
这一疲软的经济前景使得该国难以吸纳快速增长的劳动力,间接导致失业率上升,并加大了进一步降息的压力。一些经济学家认为,经济增长放缓可能促使央行在10月或12月进行更大幅度的降息,幅度可能达到50个基点。加拿大行长麦克勒姆也承认,如果经济形势比预期更差,可能会进行更大幅度的降息。
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